Nu aveam cum sa stiu atunci ca micul grup de studenti reprezenta o parte din nucleul “Miscarii OTPOR”, vreo 30 cu totul, care insa beneficiasera de instruire si pregatire in tehnici civile de lupta nonviolenta, de catre cadre CIA si finantati la vedere de Freedom House, National Endowment for Democracy si Soros. Intr-o prima etapa le-a fost incurajat si flatat nationalismul, ca o forma de rezistenta fata de regimul socialist al lui Milosevici. Tocmai faptul ca aveau convingeri puternice si atasament fata de valorile nationale ii facea eficienti.
Mica grupare a fost reorganizata si activata la o cu totul alta scara in octombrie 2000, s-au pompat resurse, si miscarea a generat un val popular, cu centrul de iradiere la Belgrad, care l-a rasturnat pana la urma pe Milosevici. Ce s-a intamplat dupa aceea cu Serbia este alta poveste.
Metodologiile sarbesti au fost exportate, tot pe filiera americana, in Egipt si nu numai. pana si simbolistica afiselor cu pumnul strans utilizate in Egipt se inspira direct, cu copy-paste, de la sarbii crescuti de americani. la baza “revolutiei oranj” din Georgia si Ucraina din 2003 si 2004 au stat aceleasi tehnici de actiune teoretizate de un american, “ideolog” al sociologiei militante, Gene Sharp. un aspect interesant este faptul ca o buna parte din tehnicile de actiune civica sunt intemeiate pe analiza evenimentelor din Romania, din perioada protestelor de strada ce au culminat cu Piata Universitatii, in iunie ’90. Romania, unde a debutat experimentul “revolutiei televizate”, a fost un fel de laborator de verificare a teoriilor canadianului, profet al ideii schimbarii mondiale pe calea mijloacelor media si a utilizarii tehnologiilor noi de comunicare pe baza computerului, Marshal McLuhan
“Lucrarea din Egipt” a debutat in 6 aprilie 2008 (o alta “lucrare” a pornit in Moldova in 7 aprilie 2009). In Moldova s-a asezat la putere, pe sangele copiilor adusi in strada si calcati in picioare de haita de militieni ai regimului Voronin, o categorie inca mai perfida de agenti ai Moscovei decat agentura comunista, devenita neeficienta din punctul de vedere al intereselor Moscovei datorita nivelului redus intelectual ce-i califica drept o gasca de grobieni cretinoizi si expirati.
Semnul OTPOR, lansat in Iugoslavia, pumnul strans alaturi de care este scris sloganul “Destul” apare in multe alte locuri, de o bucata de timp incoace. interesant este ca semnul la origine apartine simbolisticii comuniste – spre exemplificare am ales un poster sovietic dedicat celei de-a cincea aniversari a asa zisei Revolutii din Octombrie si celui de-al patru-lea Congres al Komiternului –Internationala Comunista.
semnul kominternist al pumnului ridicat a fost mai nou utilizat (si) ca simbol al asa zisei miscari Ocuppy alea alea, o miscare internationalista unde se regasesc in fundal tot activisti (de stanga) ai clanului din care provine alde Soros.
Marele semn de intrebare este care ar putea fi rostul unei uneltiri la o asemenea scara, in spatiul arab, al unor grupari de la Washington, compuse din personaje de origine evreieasca, cu o influenta majora in politica externa americana de mai bine de jumatate de secol? Mi se pare evident ca o cheie a interpretarii unor astfel de miscari nu-si poate gasi sensul in imediatul evenimentelor de acum. De ce personaje din zona Soros si nu numai, cu un rol important la varful sistemului de putere american, evrei legati de politica Israelului, si-ar bate singuri cuie in talpa promovand in intreaga zona araba regimuri islamice ostile Israelului? Pare o intrebare fara raspuns deocamdata. Perspectiva unor potentiale lovituri de biliard insa poate fi una interesanta.
“Primavara Araba” din Orientul Mijlociu a demolat dictaturi laice, si nu este vorba doar de cazul Egiptului ci si de Libia, Algeria, Tunisia si a adus la putere regimuri islamice ostile Israelului dar incapabile sa genereze cu adevarat o amenintare militara reala. Puterea atomica a Israelului, nivelul sofisticat al apararii militare israeliene, poate chiar mai performanta in anumite sectoare decat tot ce au americanii dar si, desigur, angajamentul militar american asigura un scut de netrecut.
In Egipt au ajuns acum la putere Fratii Musulmani, organizatie islamista care poate ajuta indirect Israelul, daca va oferi pretextul unei reglari de conturi regionale. Puterea gigantica militara a Israelului, activata de potentialul agresiv al Fratilor Musulmani, si-ar gasi ocazia unei manifestari de forta care ar linisti pentru inca vreo doua generatii intreaga zona musulmana si ar defini conturul unei noi pax americano-israeliana in tot Orientul Mijlociu. Asta insemnand desigur, pana la pacea cu pricina, declansarea unui razboi, sau a mai multora.
Pentru Israel, astazi, nu mai exista nicio o amenintare militara comparabila cu fortele coalitiei Egipt-Siria din octombrie 1973. Israelul a incheiat tratate de pace cu Egiptul in 1978, cu Libanul in 1983 - dupa armistitiul consecutiv invaziei israeliene, cu Iordania în 1994. Dupa tratatul cu Egiptul a fost practic neutralizat dusmanul cu cea mai mare capacitate militara. Siria a ramas in izolare dupa pacea egipteano-israeliana iar Iranul nu are potential militar comparabil cu al Israelului ci doar o pozitie greu de cucerit, daca nu chiar inexpugnabila, si o intensa capacitate retorica a vocalizelor si vociferarilor. Siria dispune de un back-up rusesc, Libia a fost luata in arenda, dupa lichidarea lui Gadhafi, un sandilau fara indoiala, dar singurul care a fost capabil sa transforme o adunatura de triburi semi-barbare intr-o tara, pentru o vreme, Irakul si Afganistanul sunt sub control – s-ar parea ca la mijlocul intregii zone ce concentreaza energiile de la Washington si din Israel ramane tot Iranul. Care ar putea fi o “miza finala” pe masura ambitiilor “uliilor”...
Un moment relevant pentru evidentierea capacitatii militare a Israelului
Yom Kippur War 1973 also called Ramadan War or October War
The October 1973 War (known in Israel as the Yom Kippur War and in the Arab world as the Ramadan War) developed rapidly, and the coordinated Egyptian-Syrian offensive caught Israel by surprise. On September 28, Palestinian guerrillas detained an Austrian train carrying Soviet Jews en route to Israel.
Subsequent Egyptian and Syrian military deployments were interpreted by Israel as defensive actions in anticipation of Israeli reprisals. For one week, Israel postponed mobilizing its troops. Not until the morning of Yom Kippur (October 6), about six hours before the Arab offensive, were Israeli officials convinced that war was imminent; a mobilization of the reserves was then ordered. In the early days of the war, the IDF suffered heavy losses as Egyptian forces crossed the Suez Canal and overran Israeli strongholds, while Syrians marched deep into the Golan Heights.
Israel launched its counteroffensive first against the Syrian front, and only when it had pushed the Syrians back well east of the 1967 cease-fire line (by October 15) did Israel turn its attention to the Egyptian front. In ten days of fighting, Israel pushed the Egyptian army back across the canal, and the IDF made deep incursions into Egypt. On October 24, with Israeli soldiers about one kilometer from the main Cairo-Ismailia highway and the Soviet Union threatening direct military intervention, the UN imposed a cease-fire.
After several months of negotiations, during which sporadic fighting continued, Israel reached a disengagement agreement in January 1974, whereby the IDF withdrew across the canal and Israeli and Egyptian troops were separated in the Sinai by a UNEF-manned buffer zone. Israel signed a similar agreement with Syria on May 31, 1974, whereby Israel withdrew to the 1967 cease-fire line in the Golan Heights and a United Nations Disengagement Observer Force (UNDOF) occupied a buffer zone between Israeli and Syrian forces.
On September 4, 1975, after further negotiations, the Second Sinai Disengagement Agreement was signed between Egypt and Israel that widened the buffer zone and secured a further Israeli withdrawal to the east of the strategic Gidi and Mitla passes.
• Dupa tratatul de la Camp David din septembrie 1978, in Sinai se afla o forta militara ONU sub comanda americana. Pozitionarea strategica a Israelului ramane un avantaj principal obtinut dupa razboiul din ’73.
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wikileaks exposed a secret document sent from the US Embassy in Cairo to Washington disclosing the extent of American support for the protesters behind the Egypt uprising.
10:30PM GMT 28 Jan 2011
S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 02 CAIRO 002572 SIPDIS FOR NEA/ELA, R, S/P AND H NSC FOR PASCUAL AND KUTCHA-HELBLING E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/30/2028 TAGS: PGOV, PHUM, KDEM, EG SUBJECT: APRIL 6 ACTIVIST ON HIS U.S. VISIT AND REGIME CHANGE IN EGYPT REF: A. CAIRO 2462 B. CAIRO 2454 C. CAIRO 2431 Classified By: ECPO A/Mincouns Catherine Hill-Herndon for reason 1.4 (d).
1. (C) Summary and comment: On December 23, April 6 activist xxxxxxxxxxxx expressed satisfaction with his participation in the December 3-5 \"Alliance of Youth Movements Summit,\" and with his subsequent meetings with USG officials, on Capitol Hill, and with think tanks. He described how State Security (SSIS) detained him at the Cairo airport upon his return and confiscated his notes for his summit presentation calling for democratic change in Egypt, and his schedule for his Congressional meetings. xxxxxxxxxxxx contended that the GOE will never undertake significant reform, and therefore, Egyptians need to replace the current regime with a parliamentary democracy. He alleged that several opposition parties and movements have accepted an unwritten plan for democratic transition by 2011; we are doubtful of this claim.
xxxxxxxxxxxx said that although SSIS recently released two April 6 activists, it also arrested three additional group members. We have pressed the MFA for the release of these April 6 activists. April 6's stated goal of replacing the current regime with a parliamentary democracy prior to the 2011 presidential elections is highly unrealistic, and is not supported by the mainstream opposition. End summary and comment.
---------------------------- Satisfaction with the Summit ----------------------------
2. (C) xxxxxxxxxxxx expressed satisfaction with the December 3-5 \"Alliance of Youth Movements Summit\" in New York, noting that he was able to meet activists from other countries and outline his movement's goals for democratic change in Egypt. He told us that the other activists at the summit were very supportive, and that some even offered to hold public demonstrations in support of Egyptian democracy in their countries, with xxxxxxxxxxxx as an invited guest. xxxxxxxxxxxx said he discussed with the other activists how April 6 members could more effectively evade harassment and surveillance from SSIS with technical upgrades, such as consistently alternating computer \"simcards.\" However, xxxxxxxxxxxx lamented to us that because most April 6 members do not own computers, this tactic would be impossible to implement. xxxxxxxxxxxx was appreciative of the successful efforts by the Department and the summit organizers to protect his identity at the summit, and told us that his name was never mentioned publicly.
------------------- A Cold Welcome Home -------------------
3. (S) xxxxxxxxxxxx told us that SSIS detained and searched him at the Cairo Airport on December 18 upon his return from the U.S. According to xxxxxxxxxxxx, SSIS found and confiscated two documents in his luggage: notes for his presentation at the summit that described April 6's demands for democratic transition in Egypt, and a schedule of his Capitol Hill meetings. xxxxxxxxxxxx described how the SSIS officer told him that State Security is compiling a file on him, and that the officer's superiors instructed him to file a report on xxxxxxxxxxxx most recent activities.
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Washington Meetings and April 6 Ideas for Regime Change
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4. (C) xxxxxxxxxxxx described his Washington appointments as positive, saying that on the Hill he met with xxxxxxxxxxxx, a variety of House staff members, including from the offices of xxxxxxxxxxxx and xxxxxxxxxxxx), and with two Senate staffers. xxxxxxxxxxxx also noted that he met with several think tank members. xxxxxxxxxxxx said that xxxxxxxxxxxx's office invited him to speak at a late January Congressional hearing on House Resolution 1303 regarding religious and political freedom in Egypt. xxxxxxxxxxxx told us he is interested in attending, but conceded he is unsure whether he will have the funds to make the trip. He indicated to us that he has not been focusing on his work as a \"fixer\" for journalists, due to his preoccupation with his U.S. trip. 5. (C) xxxxxxxxxxxx described how he tried to convince his Washington interlocutors that the USG should pressure the GOE to implement significant reforms by threatening to reveal CAIRO 00002572 002 OF 002 information about GOE officials' alleged \"illegal\" off-shore bank accounts. He hoped that the U.S. and the international community would freeze these bank accounts, like the accounts of Zimbabwean President Mugabe's confidantes. xxxxxxxxxxxx said he wants to convince the USG that Mubarak is worse than Mugabe and that the GOE will never accept democratic reform. xxxxxxxxxxxx asserted that Mubarak derives his legitimacy from U.S. support, and therefore charged the U.S. with \"being responsible\" for Mubarak's \"crimes.\"
He accused NGOs working on political and economic reform of living in a \"fantasy world,\" and not recognizing that Mubarak -- \"the head of the snake\" -- must step aside to enable democracy to take root.
6. (C) xxxxxxxxxxxx claimed that several opposition forces -- including the Wafd, Nasserite, Karama and Tagammu parties, and the Muslim Brotherhood, Kifaya, and Revolutionary Socialist movements -- have agreed to support an unwritten plan for a transition to a parliamentary democracy, involving a weakened presidency and an empowered prime minister and parliament, before the scheduled 2011 presidential elections (ref C). According to xxxxxxxxxxxx, the opposition is interested in receiving support from the army and the police for a transitional government prior to the 2011 elections.
xxxxxxxxxxxx asserted that this plan is so sensitive it cannot be written down. (Comment: We have no information to corroborate that these parties and movements have agreed to the unrealistic plan xxxxxxxxxxxx has outlined. Per ref C, xxxxxxxxxxxx previously told us that this plan was publicly available on the internet. End comment.)
7. (C) xxxxxxxxxxxx said that the GOE has recently been cracking down on the April 6 movement by arresting its members. xxxxxxxxxxxx noted that although SSIS had released xxxxxxxxxxxx and xxxxxxxxxxxx \"in the past few days,\" it had arrested three other members. (Note: On December 14, we pressed the MFA for the release of xxxxxxxxxxxx and xxxxxxxxxxxx, and on December 28 we asked the MFA for the GOE to release the additional three activists. End note.) xxxxxxxxxxxx conceded that April 6 has no feasible plans for future activities.
The group would like to call for another strike on April 6, 2009, but realizes this would be \"impossible\" due to SSIS interference, xxxxxxxxxxxx said. He lamented that the GOE has driven the group's leadership underground, and that one of its leaders, xxxxxxxxxxxx, has been in hiding for the past week.
8. (C) Comment: xxxxxxxxxxxx offered no roadmap of concrete steps toward April 6's highly unrealistic goal of replacing the current regime with a parliamentary democracy prior to the 2011 presidential elections. Most opposition parties and independent NGOs work toward achieving tangible, incremental reform within the current political context, even if they may be pessimistic about their chances of success. xxxxxxxxxxxx wholesale rejection of such an approach places him outside this mainstream of opposition politicians and activists.
SCOBEY02008-12-307386PGOV,PHUM,KDEM,EGAPRIL 6 ACTIVIST ON HIS U.S. VISIT AND REGIME CHANGE IN EGYPT
COMENTARII:
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Octavian Ion SacotaNu neaparat, E de notorietatea similaritatea afiselor naziste cu cele comuniste ( vezi si http://www.google.ro/imgres?hl=ro&sa=X&rlz=1C1CHMO_roRO471RO471&biw=1280&bih=923&tbm=isch&prmd=imvns&tbnid=WxWRyowXmoPdSM%3A&imgrefurl=http%3A%2F%2Fww...Vezi mai multRezultatele căutării de imagini Google pentru http://www.hss.state.ak.us/gcdse/history/Images/Sectiowww.google.ro25 iunie la 09:42 · · 1
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George Ronceama tem ca te afli intr-o oarecare confuzie, plecand de la ideea ca National-Socialismul (adica nazismul) insemna ceva total deosebit de Internationalistii Comunisti, bosevici rusi. prima emisie monetara a rivolutiei bolsevice avea fascia pe o parte si zvastica pe avers. parerea mea este ca si fascistii/nazistii si comunistii faceau parte din acelasi trunchi ideologic. au inceput sa-si dea in cap din cu totul alte motive decat cele de ordin ideologic, drept dovada Acordul Hitler Stalin din 1939. mai mult, inarmarea Germaniei naziste si pregatirea de razboi a fost asigurata de Stalin. cred ca ar trebui cautat alt fir rosu care a legat interesele revolutiei mondiale, foarte la moda in vremea aceea. daca nu ar fi blocat Romania ascensiunea lui Bela Kuhn, ocupand Budapesta, rivolutia incepea in mijlocul Europei, nu in Rusia...pe vremea aceea aveam coaie nu gluma25 iunie la 09:51 · · 4
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Octavian Ion Sacota Nu sunt intr-o confuzie, sunt total de acord cu ce spuneti, vroiam numai sa subliniez ca este posibil ca dupa 100 de ani de tocat ideologii de extrema stanga si extrema dreapta sa avem o mana meagra (sau maro) acoperita de o manusa rosie in toata povestea asta cu OTPOR.25 iunie la 10:21 · · 2
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George Ronceapai iacobinii si girondinii se diferentiau doar la misto, dupa asezarea in banci, ca erau la baza aceeasi gasca. nu cred ca a existat cu adevarat extrema stanga si extrema dreapta. pur si simplu a existat o moda (care revine periodic) a uciderii politice sau pur si simplu a uciderii in masa (daca ne gandim la sutele de mii de victime civile din Irak). iar tema "mainii negre" ascunse, este chiar teoretizata deja. unii o vad cu ochiu liber, altii n-o vad nici cand ii apuca de cur. ma bucur de comentariul inteligent, asta ma face sa ma simt oarecum incurajat ca tot scriu din astea, alea alea...25 iunie la 10:28 · · 4
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Ivanov AlexandruNu cred a nazismul se poate asemana in vreun fel cu ciuma bolsevica, nici ideologic nici ca pratica, stangismul economic nazist manifestandu-se in limite bine delimitate. Asa zisul pact de neagresiune era in realitate o gura de oxigen pentru Hitler iar pentru Stalin reprzenta o posibilitate de a stoarce cat mai mult de la nemti, stiut fiind faptul ca armata germana era angrenata in vest. Pentru Adolf cea mai mare spaima a fost pana la sfarsitul lui 40' posibilitatea ca divizile rusesti sa invadeze Romania, lipsind astfel Germania de principalul furnizor de petrol. Iar despre uciderea in masa a evreilor, eu nu cred minciunile alea...25 iunie la 10:46 · · 2
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Sorin Popa Suntem în ciclul ,,şarpelui'',cel care ,,plăteşte'' Important e să facem cumva să plătim cît mai puţin entru că nu se pot amîna plăţile!25 iunie la 21:26 · · 1
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